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Musk announced the establishment of the "American Party" to counter the "Too Big to Fail Act" and the bipartisan monopoly, and to support Bitcoin, believing that fiat has no hope. The American Party may promote the integration of Web3 technology with politics, but it faces political barriers, Bitcoin fluctuation risks, and regulatory uncertainties. Overall, Musk's actions have sparked market interest in digital assets, and future developments still need to be observed.

Recently, a Bitcoin holder transferred 20,000 BTC that had been dormant for 14 years, causing market turbulence, leading to a sharp price drop and creating uncertainty for investors regarding future trends. At the same time, the U.S. House of Representatives will discuss encryption tax regulations, and companies in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets are increasing their focus on stablecoin strategies. The UAE has denied issuing golden visas to Digital Money investors, and the minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting have also attracted market attention.

ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood firmly stated: "We are still in a Bitcoin bull run." This optimistic sentiment quickly sparked heated discussions in the market, especially against the backdrop of Bitcoin (BTC) breaking through $109,000 and entering a high-level consolidation, coupled with the non-farm employment data for June exceeding expectations, leading to increased divergence among investors regarding the sustainability of the bull run.
1. Non-farm data exceeds expectations: interest rate cut expectations cool down, market sentiment shifts.
On July 3rd at 20:30 (UTC+8), the U.S. Department of Labor released the June non-farm employment data, with an increase of 147,000 jobs, exceeding the expected 110,000 and the previous value of 139,000. The unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%, lower than the expected 4.3% and the previous value of 4.2%, hitting a three-month low. Strong data weakened expectations for a Fed rate cut in July, putting pressure on BTC prices to pull back. Technical indicators show a short-term bearish dominance, but the long-term trend remains intact. The strong performance of the labor market alleviated concerns about the economy.

At 20:30 tonight, the United States will release the June US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) data, with the market predicting an increase of 110,000 jobs and an unemployment rate rising to 4.3%. Trump's high tariff policy is considered a major reason for the weak job market, which will impact the Federal Reserve (FED) interest rate decision. If the data falls short of expectations, the US dollar may come under pressure, while risk assets like BTC may be boosted. Investors need to follow the data and the dynamics of the Federal Reserve (FED) to find investment opportunities.

The TD sequential indicator is an important turning point indicator in the crypto market, generating buy or sell signals based on the closing price of Candlesticks. The red signal of TD9 indicates excessive dumping, while the green signal suggests a rise in momentum. Effective use of the TD indicator requires combining trend filters and position sizing strategies, significantly increasing the win rate through methods demonstrated in practice that combine with EMA and RSI. Additionally, one should be cautious of the impact of market fluctuations and policy changes on the signals.

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1. Goldman Sachs has moved the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut timeline from December to September.
Odaily Planet Daily News: According to market news, Goldman Sachs has moved the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut timeline from December to September. - Original text
2. The Treasury Secretary revealed that legislation on cryptocurrency stablecoins may be completed by mid-July.
3. Trump calls for a reduction of interest rates to 1% and criticizes The Federal Reserve (FED) policies.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that U.S. President Trump stated on social media: Powell and his entire committee should be ashamed for allowing such things to happen in America. Their job is one of the easiest yet most prestigious jobs in the U.S., but they have failed and continue to fail. If they did their job properly, our country could save trillions of dollars in interest costs. The committee just sits there and watches, so they are equally culpable. Our interest rates should only be 1%, or even better!
4, The Federal Reserve

According to the latest announcement from the Hong Kong SAR government, the "Stablecoin Regulation" will officially take effect on August 1, 2025, marking another significant breakthrough for Hong Kong in the global digital asset regulatory landscape. Recently, the Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury, Christopher Hui, and the Secretary for Financial Affairs and the Treasury, Paul Chan, reiterated the strategic value of stablecoins on different occasions, emphasizing that they are not only a cutting-edge trend in digital asset development but also an important tool for enhancing financial efficiency and supporting the real economy. Paul Chan pointed out that the efficient circulation of stablecoins in a blockchain environment can optimize capital flow, bringing revolutionary changes to cross-border payments and the Capital Market; Christopher Hui clarified that stablecoins should not be used as speculative or profit-making tools, and the government will implement strict regulatory requirements, including sufficient capital reserves and real-time redemption mechanisms, to prevent financial risks.
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1. The Potential of Stablecoins: A "Catalyst" for Financial Efficiency
Chan Mau-po pointed out in his blog "A New Era for Asia"

With the Ordinals and Runes protocols igniting the Bitcoin ecosystem craze, a new meta-protocol is gradually emerging - Alkanes. In mid-2025, Alkanes will become a new breakthrough point for Bitcoin's native application capabilities, opening a door for developers to deploy smart contracts and issue tokens on Bitcoin. - Produced by AiCoin platform research institute.
Alkanes protocol is becoming another major investment option for on-chain retail investors and speculative funds after BRC-20.
1. What is the Alkanes protocol?
Alkanes is a new type of Metaprotocol built on the Bitcoin mainnet, developed by Oyl.

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Trump criticizes insiders at The Federal Reserve (FED), AguilaTrades increases its Bitcoin holdings to 2201 coins. Bhutan holds about 12,000 BTC, accounting for 40% of its GDP. Robinhood is set to release important news related to encryption, and Lakala is focusing on stablecoin opportunities. The Hong Kong Treasury Bureau states that stablecoins are tools for financial development, while StarkWare executives express concerns that Bitcoin may become an asset exclusive to the wealthy.

ETH experienced significant Fluctuation within just one hour, driven by macroeconomic easing policies, institutional capital inflows, and positive technical signals, with the price rising from approximately $2429 to $2524 before pulling back to $2495. Investors need to follow technical indicators and macro policies to address potential pullback risks.